How tilt effects your winrate
While this is really basic and generally people are aware that tilt probably is expensive, I think there may be people who haven’t actually done the numbers of how big exactly the effect of tilt is for your winrate. Well, here it goes:
Theory
Let x be your “tilt-free” winrate (just make an assumption or try different numbers; in ptbb/100)
Let y be the number of hands over which you think you lose a buyin due to tilt on average (this doesn’t mean that you have to lose it all in one tilty hand, but can also be small tilt-induced errors / non-optimal plays due to subtle tilt that sum up)
Then your “tilt-effected” winrate is (in ptbb/100):
((x * y/100) - 50) / (y/100)
Examples
x = 5 ptbb/100
y = 1000
tilt-effected WR = 0 ptbb/100
Or in words: If you gues your tilt-free winrate is 5 ptbb/100 and you think - on average - you tilt away one buyin over 1000 hands, you end up breaking even.
x = 2 ptbb/100
y = 5000
tilt-effected WR = 1 ptbb/100
Conclusion
Even if on average you lose only 1 buyin over 5k hands due to tilt, the effect on your winrate is huge. If it’s even more, you’re destroying your winrate very effectively. Whatever your exact numbers are, you’re hurting your bottom line a lot and it’s very likely the biggest single leak in your game. When trying to improve your game / plugging leaks, working on tilt control should be a primary goal. Hope this post stresses out why.
Edit: If you put in your real winrate (according to PT) for the result and solve for x, you can calculate what your tilt-free winrate would be.
By kflip for 2+2 Forums
