Poker Combinatorics

Chomp asked me to post about counting combos, so I have some time now.
For some (or most, I don’t know) this post might be obvious and second nature. But maybe for a few it will be helpful. While reading this, keep in mind that I have an IQ of about 20 or 30 in the […]

Overestimating Implied Odds

This is probably a basic concept that many of you have thought about before. I’ve been thinking about this a lot lately and I thought I’d post about it.

Basic Poker Theory: Expected Value

Expected Value - is commonly referrred to as EV.
from here on in positive Expected Value is +EV and negative Expected Value is -EV.
Poker is a game in which skill will beat luck every time assuming that you play for long enough. While it’s true that any two cards preflop can win any given individual hand […]

Calculating EV Part II: Making an All-In Raise

Previously, in this thread, I went over the easier EV calculations that go on when facing an all-in bet. This post will deal with (in much shorter order) the math behind making big all-in “bluffs” with drawing hands. These can be very profitable plays, but they are very easy to do poorly.

Calculating EV Part I: Calling an All-In Bet

A lot of you are posting hands where you are facing turn and river decisions where it is very likely you are beaten but still must call. Hopefully this will help you all analyze such situations in the future and make sense of some of your easier decisions.